Quantcast
 
Annual return of 118.79% - See How  Click here now!



UTEK Got Hammered On Friday...Here's An Options Setup For Monday

By John F. Summa | TradingMarkets.com
Email
Print
Archives
Feedback
Email Article Link
Close X
Recipients email address
Your name
Your email
Add a note (optional)




Stocks RSS
Ultratech, Inc. (UTEK | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), the maker of laser systems for the manufacturing of semiconductors, got hammered Friday morning Merrill Lynch cut the stock from buy to neutral, citing growing concern over the company's ability to turn orders and shipments into revenue.

The stock gapped lower on Friday’s open by over 13%, and set up one of my favorite “not likely to go zone” trades, with the call options implied volatility trading well above statistical volatility, offering some larger than normal premiums for selling.

Figure 1 shows the gap open at 18.00, from a previous close just shy of 21, which is a nice set up since the stock broke a strong up channel by gapping well below its 50-day moving average (not shown).


Figure 1 - Created using OptionVue 5 Options Analysis Software.




This type of chart setup and option volatility condition lends itself to a net selling approach. Here I am looking at a November 20 x 22.5 call credit spread (aka bear call spread), which is going for $50. The trade has $225 in maximum risk, with upside breakeven is at 20.50, and no downside risk. While upside loss is limited, the best way to manage this time-value decay trade is to exit if one of the following conditions occur:

1. The premium you collected doubles
2. The stock price touches the short leg


As you can see from Figure 2, if the underlying were to move directly to the short strike, you would experience about a $75 loss on the trade, which is certainly manageable. It is essential, however, to trade a large basket of these types of trades to diversify risk. You need to make sure they are dispersed in a mix of industry groups, as well.

Figure 2 - Created using OptionVue 5 Options Analysis Software.




The legs of this spread are contained in Figure 3, showing that we would collect $95 for the November 20 call and pay $45 for the November 22.5 call. This leaves us with a net credit of $50, which if profitable, would yield a rate or return of +22.2% during a period of 92 calendar days, or an annualized rate of return of +88% (not including commissions, slippage and fees).


UTEK Bear Call Spread Prices

UTEK Bear Call Spread Premium
Sell November 20 Call +$95
Buy November 22.5 Call -$45
Net Credit/Debit +$50

Remember to always have a trading plan, and to trade that plan smartly.

Cheers!

John Summa

John F. Summa is Founder and President of OptionsNerd.com, and a registered Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) with the National Futures Association (NFA). Founded in 1998, OptionsNerd.com offers trading seminars and tutorials to options traders, futures and option trading advisories and managed futures and options CTA account services. Mr Summa's trading articles have appeared in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine, as well as Active Trader Magazine, Options Trader Magazine, Futures Magazine, Stock, Futures & Options Magazine, and Investopedia.com. He coauthored Options on Futures: New Trading Strategies and Options on Futures Workbook (John Wiley & Sons, 2001) and more recently wrote the groundbreaking book, Trading Against The Crowd: Profiting From Fear and Greed in Stock, Futures and Options Markets (John Wiley & Sons, 2004), which includes Mr. Summa's innovative quantitative bear and bull news-flow Contrarian indicator. Mr. Summa is a PhD-trained economist and operates a delta-neutral options trading CTA program.

Attend John's Upcoming Seminar:

To learn how to trade options correctly, visit John's website, OptionsNerd.com! He offers free and premium options education seminars, as well as an equity index options spread trading advisory. John will be presenting his next intensive options seminar in Chicago on September 23, 2005. To learn more about this event, please click here for more info.


>> See more articles by John F. Summa
Stocks RSS
Related Articles
More Related Articles >>
PREMIER SPONSORED LINKS
TRADE CENTER
 
RELATED SITES
Nothing but forex
Please call 1-213-955-5858 ext. 1

About TradingMarkets | Contact | Advertise | Careers | Link to Us | Site Map | Help | Terms & Conditions | Privacy Policy | Return Policy | Testimonials | Feedback


All analyst commentary provided on TradingMarkets.com is provided for educational purposes only. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TradingMarkets.com may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. This information is NOT a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Your use of this and all information contained on TradingMarkets.com is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy.

© 2008 The Connors Group, Inc.